Simulation of growth, partnership or divestment scenarios.
High-level, flexible models that simulate strategic alternatives: expansion, partnerships, mergers or divestments. They allow the impact on revenues, costs and investment to be measured and the value created by each option to be quantified, facilitating well-informed decision-making.
Urban regeneration in Madrid
A corporation needed to assess the return rate and capital requirements for largest urban planning project in Europe, comprising 3 million sqm of land, to be developed in phases over 25 years in neglected land occupied by rail tracks.
Great flexibility in simulating calendars for the urbanisation, construction and rental or disposal of residential, office and commercial space. Calculates full P&L, Balance Sheet and Cash Flow statement projections for 25 years.
Model used in negotiations of master plan with local authorities as well as in land acquisition.
Arbitration in Spanish renewables
A European industrial conglomerate wanted to build an arbitration case for losses incurred on a 750MW portfolio of wind, solar, biomass and hydro plants in Spain.
A highly complex model was developed to calculate multiple scenarios based on the impact of successive regulatory changes on each plant’s cash flows and valuation.
The company used the outputs of the model to back up the claim presented to the arbitration court.
Bidding for Iberian PV portfolio
A Spanish group actively pursuing growth by acquisition wanted to present an offer for a 20MW PV portfolio located in Spain and Portugal.
Near identical models were built for each operating company, forecasting market and regulated revenue, opex and existing financing. Post deal refinancing options were also simulated, in order to optimize the structure.
Multiple scenarios were evaluated and an aggregated model with financial statements for all companies and for the group was then used to derive the bid value that would deliver the required shareholder return.
Debt refinancing of PV plant
A Spanish fund needed to refinance the senior debt of a 10MW PV plant with a bank syndicate due to a regulatory change with strong negative impact on revenues.
A semi-annual model was built that forecast the regulated revenues under the novel and highly complex regime. Various refinancing scenarios were forecast including swap rate break clauses and repayment profiles optimized to match future cash flow generation.
The analysis for refinancing negotiations was made using a highly flexible debt dashboard to continuously refine the options available and choose the most suitable deal for the company.
International arbitration for renewables portfolio
A European industrial conglomerate wanted to build an arbitration case for losses incurred on a 750MW portfolio of wind, solar, biomass and hydro plants in Spain.
A highly complex model was developed to calculate multiple scenarios based on the impact of successive regulatory changes on each plant’s cash flows and valuation.
The company’s lawyers used the outputs of the model to back up the claim presented to the arbitration court.