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Modelos de negocio con horizonte de corto y medio plazo, en detalle mensual o trimestral. Incluyen escenarios de ventas, costes y financiación para respaldar decisiones de inversión, desde start-ups hasta compañías consolidadas.
Una empresa buscaba desarrollar un gran complejo que incluía hoteles y villas alrededor de dos campos de golf, en un destino de primer nivel en una isla del océano Atlántico. La inversión total ascendía a 700 millones de euros.
Se construyó un modelo con proyecciones detalladas de la construcción, comercialización y operación de más de 1.000 unidades, que incluían edificios de condominios y villas, un time-sharing, un puerto deportivo y un centro comercial.
Modelo altamente flexible, con cronogramas ajustables para el inicio y la duración de la construcción por área y análisis de sensibilidad sobre los precios de venta y los costos operativos. Incluía KPIs, gráficos y estados financieros.
A Spanish industrial company wanted to raise financing to develop 130MW of greenfield wind plants in Spain.
A semi-annual model was built which included 3 plants projected separately, with market revenue down to EBIT and allowing for with sensitivities to price, production, opex and capex. The model then automatically optimized the debt sizing of both senior and mezzanine debts.
The company was able to measure returns for their investment under different debt sizes, durations and covenants and negotiate the debt raising exercise.
A Spanish group actively pursuing growth by acquisition wanted to present an offer for a 20MW PV portfolio located in Spain and Portugal.
Near identical models were built for each operating company, forecasting market and regulated revenue, opex and existing financing. Post deal refinancing options were also simulated, in order to optimize the structure.
Multiple scenarios were evaluated and an aggregated model with financial statements for all companies and for the group was then used to derive the bid value that would deliver the required shareholder return.
A Spanish fund needed to refinance the senior debt of a 10MW PV plant with a bank syndicate due to a regulatory change with strong negative impact on revenues.
A semi-annual model was built that forecast the regulated revenues under the novel and highly complex regime. Various refinancing scenarios were forecast including swap rate break clauses and repayment profiles optimized to match future cash flow generation.
The analysis for refinancing negotiations was made using a highly flexible debt dashboard to continuously refine the options available and choose the most suitable deal for the company.
A European industrial conglomerate wanted to build an arbitration case for losses incurred on a 750MW portfolio of wind, solar, biomass and hydro plants in Spain.
A highly complex model was developed to calculate multiple scenarios based on the impact of successive regulatory changes on each plant’s cash flows and valuation.
The company’s lawyers used the outputs of the model to back up the claim presented to the arbitration court.